Thursday, October 6, 2011

Herman Cain's lucky numbers, Part II

Just a follow up on my post a few days ago about Herman Cain's rapid rise in the reports continue to show very positive numbers for Cain:

A Newsmax/InsiderAdvantage poll shows businessman and radio talk host Herman Cain now leading former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney among likely GOP primary voters in the fight for the 2012 Republican nomination.
The exclusive poll, taken in the past 24 hours, shows Cain vaulting Romney 26 percent to 24 percent.  The poll has a margin of error of 4.4 percent.
Several other polls show similar results, establishing Cain as the new grass-roots front-runner deadlocked with Romney, the establishment Republican choice. 
A new CBS poll showed Cain and Romney deadlocked, with each candidate garnering 17 percent of the vote. And a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday shows Romney leading Cain 22 percent to 17 percent — a statistical tie because of the poll’s margin of error. 
Pew Research Center | Obama Motivates Supporters, Opponents in Early 2012 Matchups; Cain Gaining Ground in GOP Primary
Romney continues to hold a slim lead for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination, with the backing of 22% of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters. But three other candidates are in double digits – Perry at 17%, Herman Cain at 13%, and Ron Paul at 12%. Among the most attentive Republican voters – those who have given “a lot of thought” to the election – the current race is virtually a dead heat between Romney (23%), Perry (19%) and Cain (20%).
With interviewing conducted continually from Sept. 22 to Oct. 4, the survey provides a track of Perry’s declining support, and Cain’s growing support. In interviews conducted Sept. 22-25, Perry led Cain by a 23% to 8% margin. In later interviews conducted Oct. 1-4, Perry’s support had fallen eight points, while Cain’s support was up ten points.
Meanwhile, there were no significant shifts in support for any of the other announced candidates. Republican voters who agree with the Tea Party are particularly supportive of Cain’s candidacy – 23% back him compared with just 6% of Republicans who do not identify with the Tea Party. By contrast, Romney receives more backing from non-Tea Party Republicans (25%) than Tea Party Republicans (17%).

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