Wednesday, October 20, 2010

The evil Republican conspiracy...to follow the law

Last month, I had the honor of being one of the presenters at an election law seminar sponsored by the Republican National Lawyers Association.  Some of the top election and campaign finance attorneys around the state participated in the educational program, which covered topics such as campaign finance regulations, special issues related to military and absentee ballots, ethical rules, and election day procedures and laws.  

Every presenter, over and over, emphasized that our number one priority was to uphold the law and maintain the highest ethical standards in all of our activities.  The Florida Bar already has a very strict and detailed system of ethics and professionalism rules that govern attorneys, and we spent a lot of time discussing how those rules apply to attorneys working on campaigns.  I've attended other similar RNLA election law seminars in the past, including one in St. Louis in 2008.

I have greatly enjoyed every RNLA event I have attended.  The member attorneys are definitely some of the best and brightest in the country, and hold themselves to the highest ethical standards, but they are also a wonderful, friendly, kind-hearted bunch of people.  These are people who sincerely love their country and believe, as I do, that the practice of law is not merely a career, but a profession, and as professionals we must hold ourselves to higher standards.

Besides the RNLA seminars, I have also participated in training volunteers in election day operations for the Republican Party.  The emphasis in our local training, as it was with the RNLA programs, is that we will follow the law in everything that we do.  The front page of the materials I handed out this year states:
"Remember always that you are representing the Republican Party and we support fair and honest elections.  We will be ethical and courteous in all of our activities.
We have been in regular communication with the staff and counsel for the Supervisors of Elections in this area, and make sure that we are in full compliance with all of their regulations.  In Orange County, we are very lucky that our SOE (who is a Democrat, by the way) works very hard to train election staff.  In my experience, the Orange County SOE has been very responsive when any problems have arisen.  This week during early voting, one of my volunteers called in to report that one location was not following the statutory procedure regarding voters bringing in their absentee ballots.  One phone call, and the SOE immediately addressed the problem and had someone give specific instructions to the employees at that location.  They even sent me an email to let me know precisely how the situation had been handled and to thank me for bringing the issue to their attention.

Then yesterday, I noticed I was getting an uptick on my page hits and was wondering why, when I was sent this link:

...the RNLA is currently in the midst of conducting what it bills as an "unprecedented" series of election law training seminars in the run up to the midterms elections. The seminars have been held or scheduled in several states, including Illinois, Nevada, Florida, Washington, California and New York. 

The public gloss the RNLA puts on its seminars is that they're for professional training. In fact, the group offers continuing legal education credits to lawyers who pay to attend them. But according to a blog post by one of the lecturers at its recent Florida seminar, only Republicans are allowed to attend. "Please note that due to the RNLA's sponsorship of this event, that attendance is limited to Republicans," Sarah Rumpf, a Florida attorney wrote on her blog. "If you are not already a member of the RNLA or are not otherwise already known by the [Republican Party of Florida], you will need a reference in order to attend this seminar." 

The seminar speakers seem to have a decidedly political bent as well. The recent Florida seminar featured appearances by Rick Scott, the Republican nominee for governor, and Pam Bondi, the party's nominee of attorney general.
Watch out everyone!  The Vast Right Wing Conspiracy is coming to get you!  Bwahahaha! 


We've got all of our diabolically clever attorneys working hard to  pass on our top-secret plans to properly document and report campaign contributions and expenditures, provide proper legal disclaimers on political advertisements, ensure that every voter has full access to the polls free of intimidation, no one engages in campaigning past the 100' boundary around polling places...and oh, don't forget, our magic voodoo schemes to double check that all ballot machines start the day with their counters showing zero.

What are we up to?  Making sure that Republican candidates, party officials, campaign staff and volunteers have access to the current laws and regulations governing Florida elections so they are able to fully and completely comply with those rules.  Oh, the horror!

Yes, it's an eeeeeeeevil conspiracy to tell people to...follow the law.  We've also been known to tell people to be nice to poll workers.  Gasp!  Time to get out the tin foil hats!


So why all the exclusivity?  Simple.  The RNLA has decided that compliance with the law is a top priority and is literally putting their money where their mouth is.  By partially underwriting the expense of these seminars, they vastly increase the number of Republican attorneys who are able to attend and get this information.  As an attorney who practices election and campaign finance law, I can tell you that it is a very specialized practice, and seminars on the subject are rare and hard to find.  

Despite what the TPM writers are trying to suggest, the RNLA doesn't have infinite resources, so it makes perfect sense that it directs those resources to the education of its own members.  Having seen the materials provided at recent RNLA seminars, and helped prepare some of those materials myself, there's nothing in any of those materials that the Democrats couldn't create themselves by looking up the same statutes and case law that we researched.

As far as the "decidedly political bent" of our seminar, TPM again misses the larger picture.  Our RNLA seminar was scheduled for the same hotel and the same weekend as the RPOF Quarterly Meeting, so as to maximize the number of people who would be able to attend.  Many of the attorneys who are counsel for RPOF or our Republican candidates are also active in their local Republican Executive Committees, or would otherwise be attending the RPOF Quarterly in support of a particular candidate.  Rick Scott and Pam Bondi were both already at the hotel for other RPOF events that weekend; they didn't make a special trip to visit our seminar.  Scott and Bondi were not part of the educational component of the seminar, but gave their speeches in between lectures by the presenting attorneys.  The message from Scott and Bondi was the same: to thank us for our efforts to educate attorneys, candidates, and campaign staff and volunteers on compliance with election law, and they both affirmed their personal commitments to fair and ethical election practices. Ooooh, scary.

And just to address the point in the TPM post about the RNLA seminars coming "just weeks" after the Richard DeVos donated money to the RNLA, points for creativity, guys.  The reality is so much less interesting.  The Orlando seminar was planned early this year and the topics and speakers all confirmed by July.  I went back and looked at my archived emails to confirm that.  A lot of people spent a lot of time and energy to plan this seminar to provide education on election law to our members, as the RNLA does every election year, not because some billionaire is pulling strings and ordering us to do his bidding. 

I want to thank TPM for linking back to my blog.  Every view and click brings extra Google Adsense revenue and supports my addiction to Barnie's Hazelnut coffee.  I'm not Townhall or RedState (not yet, anyway), but I love politics and I'm enjoying my little corner of the internets.  Every reader y'all send my way helps support that, so thanks again for the link!  :)

Seriously though, TPM should find some other reason to get their feathers all ruffled.  Maybe they can find a Sunday School class brainwashing little children to "Do unto others as you would have them do unto you," or maybe there's a third grade teacher out there pushing some nefarious propaganda about "I before E except after C."  (Just in case y'all don't speak Sarcasm, my point is that telling people what the rules are and encouraging them to follow those rules is a good thing.)

Here's the RNLA's response to the TPM tin-foil hat theory article (they're a lot less sarcastic than I am):

RNLA Blog | Liberal Media Seeks to Discredit RNLA & De-Legitimize Voter Fraud Concerns With False Allegations


Tuesday, October 19, 2010

So You Want to Go to Law School

This is for all my fellow attorneys...I'm sure you'll find something that reminds you of conversations we've all had with wanna-be lawyers.  Gotta love all that bright eyed and bushy tailed idealism :)

For the non-lawyers, watch and learn!



The one thing I would have added is a joke about living your life in 6 minute increments.  (Many law firms keep billing records in 10ths of an hour, i.e., 6 minute periods.)

Sunday, October 17, 2010

My thoughts on this year's amendments

As usual, this year's ballot has a long list of proposed amendments to the Florida Constitution, a non-binding special referendum, and in some counties, a proposed school tax.  My thoughts on these end of the ballot items are below.

First of all, some general comments.  My default setting on constitutional amendments is to vote no unless (1) the amendment actually addresses a matter that is appropriate for the Constitution, and (2) there is a compelling and specific problem that necessitates that amendment, and the amendment actually offers an effective solution to that problem.  Too often, it seems to me that many proposed amendments are solutions looking for a problem, instead of the other way around, or even worse, will create new and bigger problems if they are passed.  The campaigning in support and opposition of Constitutional amendments is frequently misleading, if not downright deceitful.

A few years ago an amendment was passed to require a 60% approval vote for new constitutional amendments, and that's helped a lot, but, in my opinion, we still have far too many issues on the ballot every year that would be better addressed by the legislature or another method than being enshrined in the Constitution.  The prohibition of a specific method of housing pregnant pigs on farms is the most egregious example that comes to mind, but it's by far not the only nonsense someone has tried to put into our Constitution.

The next part of my analysis addresses whether there a good reason for that specific amendment.  A lot of the time, the amendment may sound like a great idea, but when you investigate what it will actually do, you realize that it probably won't be able to solve the problem it's supposed to address.  Keep in mind that the language on the ballot is not the exact or complete language of the actual constitutional amendment, and the actual impact of any given amendment can be affected, sometimes greatly, by the statutes, administrative rules, and bureaucratic procedures that are enacted to execute that amendment.  To me, that is the biggest trick and potential danger of these amendments - what happens after your vote is sometimes drastically different than what you expected.

OK, here we go...let me know what you think in the comments! 

Amendment 1 - VOTE YES
Repeal of public campaign financing requirement. Proposing the repeal of the provision in the State Constitution that requires public financing of campaigns of candidates for elective statewide office who agree to campaign spending limits.
The ideas behind public campaign financing are noble ones: imposing spending caps is supposed to prevent anyone from "buying" an election, and providing funding to statewide candidates allows them to theoretically compete on an even playing field and have the resources to get their message out in Florida's expensive media market without feeling beholden to special interests.  

The problem is that this is not how it works in reality.  No statewide candidate gets elected with public financing dollars alone, and if a candidate has enough money (either from donors or personal resources) to go past the spending caps, the public contribution is not enough to provide a disincentive to that candidate, and  at the same time it's insufficient to allow an opponent to truly "level the playing field."

In essence, public campaign financing takes tens of millions of dollars of our taxpayer money to only partially and ineffectually address a problem that, in my opinion, is far from the biggest challenge facing our elections.  I'm less worried about one candidate having more money in their campaign account than the opponent than I am about many other campaign finance issues.  

Voting Yes on 1 will end public financing of statewide campaigns.  Especially in tough budget times like this, we should have higher priorities for our taxpayer dollars.

I recommend voting YES ON 1.

Amendment 2 - Vote Yes
Homestead ad valorem tax credit for deployed military personnel.  Proposing an amendment to the State Constitution to require the Legislature to provide an additional homestead property tax exemption by law for members of the United States military or military reserves, the United States Coast Guard or its reserves, or the Florida National Guard who receive a homestead exemption and were deployed in the previous year on active duty outside the continental United States, Alaska, or Hawaii in support of military operations designated by the Legislature. The exempt amount will be based upon the number of days in the previous calendar year that the person was deployed on active duty outside the continental United States, Alaska, or Hawaii in support of military operations designated by the Legislature. The amendment is scheduled to take effect January 1, 2011. 
My first instinct is that I want to always support anything and everything that supports the troops.  This amendment is supposed to grant an additional homestead property tax exemption for active duty military who are serving overseas.  However, there  is some confusion about how this amendment would be carried out.  One issue is whether all overseas service should count, or just service in war zones.  There are also potential problems with how a qualifying member of the military will be able to prove eligibility, how susceptible this program will be to fraud, and how complicated and expensive the bureaucracy needed to execute this program will be.  

My main concern is that, again, we are facing serious budget challenges, and the impact this amendment will have on a single family is not that great, while the cumulative cost to the tax base will be millions of dollars.  I have a similar objection to back-to-school sales tax holidays - the savings to any single family are very small, but it costs the state millions of dollars.  This amendment also does nothing to help our military members who are renting their residence. 

Still, I understand the challenges that our active duty military face in trying to support their families back home while they serve overseas, and I can definitely see the motivations behind this amendment.  I only question whether this is the best way to accomplish these goals, or if there is a simpler way to provide financial support to our wonderful service members and their families.

Accordingly, I am not going to make a recommendation here.  I believe that you can have legitimate and morally valid reasons for either a Yes or a No vote on this one. 

UPDATED: I have been told that the total cost to the state will be about $13 million, and this is the only remaining tax bill that is still in effect during active overseas duty.  That changes my perspective on this amendment.  However, my concern still exists that this does nothing to assist military families in rental housing, and I still wonder whether there are better ways to financially support our military.  Still, the overall good from passing this amendment outweighs my concerns.

I recommend voting Yes on 2.

Amendment 4 - NO, NO, NO
Referenda required for adoption and amendment of local government comprehensive land use plans.  Establishes that before a local government may adopt a new comprehensive land use plan, or amend a comprehensive land use plan, the proposed plan or amendment shall be subject to vote of the electors of the local government by referendum, following preparation by the local planning agency, consideration by the governing body and notice. Provides definitions. 
This is the so-called "Hometown Democracy" amendment.  Basically, it requires any change to a local government comprehensive land use plan (aka "comp plan") to go on the ballot and be approved by the voters.  The supporters of Amendment 4 claim that it will protect communities from "out of control growth" caused by all those evil nasty developers.  However, Amendment 4 will not solve that problem, and will create lots of new, bigger problems.  

First of all, let's look at what Amendment 4 will mean on a practical level.  Comp plan amendments require highly technical and legally complicated language.  Normally, your city council, county commission, etc. will have all comp plan requests reviewed by trained staff attorneys, engineers, urban planners, etc. who submit their analysis and recommendations to a planning and zoning board, and then later to the entire city council or county commission.  There are multiple stages of review, discussion, and approval before any change can be made.  Amendment 4 asks the voters to make these decisions on their own.  Constitutional amendments are confusing enough, and their meaning can be even more obscured by the way they are summarized or reworded on the ballot.  Including comp plan amendments would either require putting long and extremely complicated language on the ballots, or shortening the language and risking misrepresentations.

Supporters of Amendment 4 claim that it is needed to stop large, sprawling mega-developments.  However, what will end up happening is that the  big developers will simply hire attorneys, lobbyists, and consultants to promote their project.  Any developer with the resources to build the type of project being scapegoated to promote Amendment 4 will probably also be able to pay for a campaign for your votes.  What will end up being adversely affected are local small businesses, someone seeking to expand their restaurant, upgrade a bookstore, add storage buildings on a back lot, etc.  

Amendment 4 does not stop any development, does not place any restrictions on any specific type of development, does not add any new standards for development.  All it does is add significant expense, complication, and time to the development process.  It does not matter how big or small the proposed comp plan change is, Amendment 4 would require all of them to campaign for voter approval, and would delay any development for about a year to wait for the next local election, if not longer.

There are also no exceptions based on merit of the development.  I can definitely understand the reservations people have about new residential subdivisions, especially considering Florida's currently depressed housing market, but what about the bio-tech industry growing around UCF's new medical school or the businesses moving into Innovation Way?  These are not developments that were contemplated a decade or two ago,  so they wouldn't have been included in comp plan decisions, but they will provide thousands of jobs and help diversify our local economy.  Going a little further back, think about the land use changes needed after a guy named Walt visited Orlando in the 1960s and decided it was a great place for his next theme park.  All development is not bad, and unnecessary restrictions will not stop bad developments but could scare off good ones. 

Other arguments used by Amendment 4 promoters are that current comp plans allow "the amount of homes in our county to double," "100 million people to move into Florida," and other scary-sounding statistics that make it sound like the state will be paved over completely.  These numbers are completely unrealistic.  Development never happens uniformly or all at once across an entire area.  No matter what, we are simply not going to build out every lot that is currently authorized under our comp plans.  When Amendment 4 supporters say things like this, they are including the state's vast undeveloped areas that are currently zoned agricultural, and suggesting that someone would come along and buy every single one of those lots and build houses on parcels that are 2.5 acres or larger (Orange County's current minimum lot size for A-R zoning).  There's not a developer out there that would make that investment.

The truth is that Amendment 4 would actually increase sprawl by making development near metropolitan areas more complicated and expensive, and thereby lowering the costs for developing further away from existing infrastructure, and more likely to adversely impact ecologically sensitive areas.  As long as Florida has sunshine and low taxes, we will always be faced with challenges regarding how we handle growth, but Amendment 4 is absolutely, positively not the right way to address those challenges.  

For additional information, please check out the website for Vote No on 4.

I strongly recommend voting No on 4.

Amendment 5 - VOTE NO
Standards for legislature to follow in legislative redistricting.  Legislative districts or districting plans may not be drawn to favor or disfavor an incumbent or political party. Districts shall not be drawn to deny racial or language minorities the equal opportunity to participate in the political process and elect representatives of their choice. Districts must be contiguous. Unless otherwise required, districts must be compact, as equal in population as feasible, and where feasible must make use of existing city, county and geographical boundaries.
Amendment 6 - VOTE NO
Standards for legislature to follow in congressional redistricting.  Congressional districts or districting plans may not be drawn to favor or disfavor an incumbent or political party. Districts shall not be drawn to deny racial or language minorities the equal opportunity to participate in the political process and elect representatives of their choice. Districts must be contiguous. Unless otherwise required, districts must be compact, as equal in population as feasible, and where feasible must make use of existing city, county and geographical boundaries.  
Amendments 5 and 6 address the way that state legislative and congressional districts are drawn.  Having worked on many local campaigns, I understand the confusion and frustration with gerrymandered districts, how difficult it can be to figure out who represents you, and the worries that voters have regarding the effect such districts may have in insulating incumbents from challenges.

The problem is that, once again, these amendments don't actually fix the problems they claim to address.  In fact, it is my opinion that the ballot language is fraudulently misleading on 5 and 6 and leaves out some very crucial information.  The end result will be significantly more litigation, and the decision making power removed from our elected officials and instead transferred to non-elected bureaucrats and judges.

One of the most important missing words in the ballot language (but present in the actual full text of the amendments) is the word "intent."  The full language of 5 and 6 forbids drawing districts with the "intent" to favor or disfavor an incumbent or political party, or with the "intent" to adversely affect minority voting rights.  This requires an attempt to read the minds of those drawing the districts and divine some sort of malicious purpose.

The reality is that no matter how we draw our districts, whether we impose a square grid over the entire state or let a blindfolded chimpanzee draw the lines, it will benefit one party or candidate more than another, even in the absence of any "intent" to do so.  Amendments 5 and 6  do nothing to reform our redistricting process and instead just open up additional arenas for litigation, most dangerously through the potential arguments over what "intent" was present during the process.

Districts are already required to be contiguous, and proportional in population.  The U.S. Constitution, the Florida Constitution, and many, many federal and state statutes already forbid racial discrimination or interfering with someone's right to vote based on race.  And what precisely constitutes a "language minority"?  Will all dialects of Spanish be treated the same?  Will this amendment be interpreted to require ballots be printed in every language we can identify as currently spoken by a Florida resident?  We have a large Hispanic population in this state, and providing bilingual ballots increases access for a lot of people, but how expensive and cumbersome will it be to also print those ballots in French, German, Polish, Swahili, Greek, Farsi, and (for all the Borat fans) Kazakh?

More troubling, what does it mean to deny minorities the "opportunity" to elect a representatives of their "choice?"  Isn't the act of voting itself how people elect a representative of their choice?  Sounds to me that the proponents of these amendments are suggesting that minority groups vote as a block and can only be represented by members of their same minority group.  It is well documented that gerrymandering has been used for years to create "majority-minority" districts, making it more likely that minority candidates will be elected, if you are following the assumption that minorities are more likely to vote for members of their same group.  Personally, I've always been a big fan of judging people based on the "content of their character, not the color of their skin" as MLK Jr. encouraged.

I strongly recommend voting NO on 5 and 6.

Amendment 8 - VOTE YES
Revision of the class size requirements for public schools.  The Florida Constitution currently limits the maximum number of students assigned to each teacher in public school classrooms in the following grade groupings: for prekindergarten through grade 3, 18 students; for grades 4 through 8, 22 students; and for grades 9 through 12, 25 students.  Under this amendment, the current limits on the maximum number of students assigned to each teacher in public school classrooms would become limits on the average number of students assigned per class to each teacher, by specified grade grouping, in each public school. 

This amendment also adopts new limits on the maximum number of students assigned to each teacher in an individual classroom as follows:  for prekindergarten through grade 3, 21 students; for grades 4 through 8, 27 students; and for grades 9 through 12, 30 students.  This amendment specifies that class size limits do not apply to virtual classes, requires the Legislature to provide sufficient funds to maintain the average number of students required by this amendment, and schedules these revisions to take effect upon approval by the electors of this state and to operate retroactively to the beginning of the 2010-2011 school year.
This amendment adds flexibility to the current class size restrictions which were imposed by another constitutional amendment a few years ago.  It would slightly increase the number of students allowed per classroom and calculate the number based on a school's averages, instead of using a strict cap per classroom, as the current system does.

Three generations of my family, including both my parents, have been public school teachers and administrators in Florida.  While class size is only one factor in providing quality education, I definitely agree that overcrowded classes can be detrimental.  The increased burden on the teacher is clear, not just in terms of extra papers to grade but  also the challenges of properly addressing each student's needs and maintaining discipline.

Amendment 8 will not allow overcrowded classrooms.  It increases the caps only slightly, a needed change considering the budget restrictions every school system is facing right now.  Most importantly, is the change in calculation from a strict "how many children are in each class" to a more flexible "what is the average number of children in each class."  Currently, if a first grade class has 18 students at the beginning of the year, and another child transfers to that class two months later, the school is required to incur the expense of hiring a new teacher, providing for a new classroom, and breaking up the children in that class.  

The damage caused by breaking up a successfully functioning class is a major problem.  It is highly disruptive to the learning environment and can be traumatic for the students, especially the very young or those who have learning disabilities or behavioral issues.  How do you explain to kindergartners who have already bonded with their teacher why they have to get a new teacher?  What effect does that have on students who are in the middle of learning to read?  At the higher level, these class size caps have resulted in high school students being unable to take AP or honors classes, impeding their ability to compete for admission to college.

I recommend voting YES on 8.

Nonbinding Statewide Referendum - Vote YES
Balancing the Federal Budget. A Nonbinding Referendum Calling for an Amendment to the United States Constitution. In order to stop the uncontrolled growth of our national debt and prevent excessive borrowing by the Federal Government, which threatens our economy and national security, should the United States Constitution be amended to require a balanced federal budget without raising taxes?
This is a "nonbinding referendum," which suggests that it doesn't mean anything.  There is some hope that passing this referendum with a significant majority would send a message to Washington D.C. that the people of Florida are highly concerned about deficit spending and our national debt.  This type of referendum is also a first step in calling for a Constitutional Convention to actually draft and pass such an amendment.

Honestly, I believe that the wisdom of actually passing such an amendment should be sincerely and thoroughly debated.  The budgets and concerns of state legislatures are very different and distinct from those of Congress.  In times of war or national emergency, deficit spending may be necessary or helpful.  However, those concerns can be addressed if and when a Constitutional Convention is actually convened, and the spending in Washington has gotten so insanely out-of-control that I really would like to send a clear message that we have had enough.

I recommend voting yes on this nonbinding special referendum.

School Tax increases - Vote NO 

Orange County voters will see the following language at the end of their ballot as "Special Referendum:"
Orange County School District Ad Valorem Millage Election. Shall the Orange County School District ad valorem millage be increased by a total of one mill for essential operating expenses in order to preserve academic programs, retain highly qualified teachers, and protect arts, athletics and student activities beginning July 1, 2011, and ending four (4) fiscal years later on June 30, 2015, with annual reporting to ensure proper fiscal stewardship of these funds to the citizens of Orange County?
...and Seminole County voters will see this language as a "County Referendum:"
Shall The School Board of Seminole County, Florida, levy a one-half cent school capital outlay sales tax on sales in Seminole County, Florida, for 10 years, effective January 1, 2012, for the purpose of paying the costs of the projects and other expenditures set forth in the Resolution 2010-02 and adopted on July 27, 2010 consisting of facility construction and maintenance (including safety and security), technology for schools and other authorized capital expenditures?

I recommend voting no on both of these.  For me to even consider supporting a tax increase, three factors must be unequivocally established: (1) a definite end date, or "sunset," to the tax increase, (2) a clear and specific purpose for the tax increase, and (3) a pressing need for the funds that justifies the added burden on the taxpayers.

Here, both the Orange and Seminole proposals include expiration dates, but I am not satisfied that my other two criteria have been met.  The Orange proposal states that the funds are to "preserve academic programs, retain highly qualified teachers, and protect arts, athletics and student activities."  To me, that sounds vague, and easily interpreted to allow the money to be used for almost any of the school system's expenditures.  The reporting requirement to ensure "proper fiscal stewardship" is an empty promise, as school budgets are already a matter of public record.

The Seminole County one bothers me even more.  What the heck are the "projects and other expenditures set forth in the Resolution 2010-02," exactly?  It says that they are "facility construction and maintenance (including safety and security), technology for schools and other authorized capital expenditures," but I am still not entirely clear about where the money would go, especially what exactly those "other authorized capital expenditures" might include.

My biggest concern with both of these proposals is that during this tough economy, we should be extraordinarily cautious about any tax increases and the further depressive effect they would likely have on our economy.  I am proud of the fact that I received my education exclusively from our public school system (kindergarten all the way through college and law school), and as a result I am a strong believer in the merits of our public schools, but I also believe that merely throwing money at schools won't necessarily improve education, and I strongly believe that this is the wrong time for a tax increase.

I recommend voting NO on the Orange County and Seminole County school tax increase proposals.  

What do you think?  Do you agree with me about these amendments?  Why or why not?

Friday, October 15, 2010

More on Corrine Brown's Last Minute Debate Cancellation

As I mentioned earlier this week, Corrine Brown cancelled her appearance at last night's debate, barely 24 hours before it was scheduled to start, even though she had confirmed her attendance weeks ago.

Here's a press release from the Yost for Congress campaign about the last minute cancellation:

____________________________________________________________

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
Thursday, October 14, 2010

CONTACT:
Jen Millikin
(617) 299-1239
jen.millikin@yost2010.com

Brown Bails on Constituents, Opts Out of CFUL Candidate Forum
Last Minute Decision Affirms: Corrine, Constituents Just Don't Mix


JACKSONVILLE, FL - Mike Yost, candidate for U.S. Representative in the 3rd District, today denounced Democratic Congresswoman Corrine Brown's juvenile approach to denying voters an opportunity to see and hear her at tonight's now cancelled candidate forum.

"After living and working in Florida for the past four years, I remain dazed and confused as to Rep. Brown's approach to public service.  From her lavish stays nationwide at five-star hotels like the Ritz-Carlton, to her refusal to answer basic questions from local reporters and now a last minute decision to bail on a Urban League Candidate Forum.  These are clearly the tactics of a career politician, and in 2010, I think voters in the 3rd Congressional District deserve better.

"As Congressman, I pledge not only to maintain connection with voters using traditional ways, but to also make the most of social media tools such as Tele-Town Halls, Facebook, and Twitter. If you are too busy for constituents because you are gallivanting coast to coast spending thousands of donor dollars and you refuse to answer questions from a well-known and accomplished advocacy group like the Urban League, you're in Washington for one reason, and one reason only: your own well-being.  The time is now for voters to learn after 18-years of lackluster service, it's not Corrine Brown's seat, it's the people's seat."

Sponsored by the Central Florida Urban League (CFUL), tonight's event entitled, "Conversation with the Candidates," was confirmed to be attended by both of the candidates of the 3rd Congressional District prior to a letter received by each on Monday, October 4, 2010 (see attached). When it comes to leading the way with improving district statistics regarding dismal unemployment, education and crime numbers: Where is Corrine Brown?

###

After more than 20-years of serving as a trustworthy neighborhood auto-technician, Mike Yost chose to put his successful career on hold, and literally "walk the walk" knocking on over 12,000 doors to gather signatures necessary to qualify for the August Republican primary ballot.  He and his wife Debra share a home in Jacksonville and have two children and five grandchildren.

Paid for and approved by Yost for Congress

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Mike Yost on Ed Dean Radio

Mike Yost was on Ed Dean's Radio Show on Tuesday, talking about his race.

You can listen to the show here:

Mike is on starting at the 0:33 mark...check him out, I think you'll like what you hear.  

...and, oh yeah, I'm on the show too, during the hour right after Mike. :) 

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Corrine Brown Chickens Out

This is just so pathetic.  Tomorrow night in Sanford, the Central Florida Urban League had scheduled a candidate forum and debate for the District 3 Congressional race.  This event has been on the calendar for a long time, both campaigns had agreed to the date, time, and format of the debate, and a letter was sent out to both campaigns on October 4th confirming all the details.

Then, earlier today, the Urban League suddenly cancelled the entire event.  Why?  Corrine Brown had backed out at the last minute the day before the event.  Well, Mike Yost was still willing to show up to meet the voters and answer their questions.   No official explanation has been issued by the Brown campaign, but an unnamed source admitted that Corrine Brown apparently doesn't want to debate Mike Yost.

Hmmmm.  I wonder why?  Why is Corrine Brown scared to debate Mike Yost?

Here's Mike Yost giving a speech earlier this month in Orlando (this was an impromptu speech, that he did without any notes or preparation ahead of time):



...and here's Corrine Brown giving a speech on the floor of Congress.  She is reading from her own notes, and, ummm, still apparently having problems...


YouTube | Corrine Brown Congratulating the UF Football Team

Representing your alma mater positively: FAIL.  

Have a great day, y'all, and please remember to support Mike Yost, the only candidate in District 3 willing to actually talk to his constituents and answer their questions. 


Bill Segal's partisan problem

Bill Segal has been running a very confusing campaign for awhile now.  I have always thought he was a nice guy, and he has not governed as any sort of partisan extremist, but his campaign has seemed like one partisan attack after another, especially after the primary election results showed Teresa Jacobs so far ahead.

For some reason, Segal decided to come by our Orange County Young Republican meeting last night.  Most of the membership did not know he was coming and I think a lot of people were shocked that he was there.  I give him credit for being willing to take the heat and answer a lot of tough questions, but I have to question the campaign strategy here.  

Segal tried to claim he had run a nonpartisan campaign, but the Sentinel has diligently tracked down all of the Segal campaign's clumsy attempts to tie Jacobs to Sarah Palin and call her a right-wing extremist (See Sentinel blog posts here and here).  He admitted he was a Democrat and then claimed that he had "supported McCain eight years ago."  I assume he meant to say ten years ago, in 2000, but I don't see how he could have supported McCain against Bush in 2000, when he would have been unable to vote for a Republican in Florida's closed primaries as a Democrat.  

Segal then was asked if he had supported Obama, and he said yes, and continued on with something about how he thought Obama had a great message of hope, good ideas, etc.  Ummm, what was he thinking?  The average independent voter on the street is not excited about Obama right now, and you are in a room of Republican activists, campaign workers, RPOF staffers, and volunteers.  Understanding your audience FAIL.

Frank Torres was at last night's meeting too and has a great blog post on his take on all this.  You really should be reading Frank's blog anyway, he's got a great take on Central Florida Politics:


...and I have to agree with Frank, I was a bit shocked when Segal called Frank an "entertainer."  I don't know what Segal's intentions were, I can't read minds, but it sounded condescending and dismissive to me, and I heard a number of other people in the room sharply draw in a breath or say "Oh!" at that little comment.

Again, I have to just question the strategy of the Segal campaign.   It's like the campaign is being run by Tweedledee and Tweedledum Tweedledumb and Tweedledumber.

This whole visit was nothing more than a big waste of time for them.  Segal and two of his top campaign staffers spent almost three hours at GrayRobinson (most of it sitting in the lobby), they didn't raise a dime in campaign contributions, didn't win a single vote, and managed to anger a lot of the OCYR membership.  If the group wasn't already firmly on Team Teresa, they sure are now.  Plus, I'm pretty sure the multiple people in the room that pulled out video phones and cameras when Segal popped in, now have some sound bites that will not help Segal win votes with Republicans, or Democrats for that matter.
 

Monday, October 11, 2010

Why Kendrick Meek won't drop out, and why it doesn't matter even if he does

Ever since this article appeared in the Wall Street Journal last week, there's been a lot of chatter about whether Kendrick Meek will drop out of the Senate race, presumably to support Charlie Crist and help him defeat Marco Rubio.  I am not worried about this, for several reasons.

First of all, I seriously doubt Meek is going anywhere.  I disagree with him - strongly - on almost all of his policy positions, but I have to respect the hard work he has put into this race.  Meek qualified by petition, a significant accomplishment in any race but even more impressive considering the number of signatures needed for a statewide race.  

Meek is not a guy who is running just for vanity [cough cough Jeff Greene cough cough] or to prove a point, this is a guy who is running because he truly believes in what he's doing and the causes for which he is fighting.  Like I said, I don't agree with him but he's a true believer and I grant a lot more respect for that than I do Charlie's flip-flopping pander-monium (see what I did there?  A little wordplay with "pandemonium" using "pander," Charlie's favorite word.  I'm surprised he hasn't trademarked it yet.  OK, I'm done patting myself on the back for a semi-clever pun).

Anyone who watched the last debate can see that Meek is serious about his campaign and very passionate about his beliefs.  I just don't see him pulling a Nick Saban ("No, I swear I'm not leaving this team!").  The Meek campaign's statement denying any intention to drop out sounded absolutely serious to me, Bill Clinton is scheduled to campaign with him in Central Florida later this month, and Obama himself is recording a radio ad for Meek.  No way a former president and a current president would waste their time or political capital on a candidate who couldn't convince them he was committed to the race.

It's important to consider what Meek stands to gain or lose from staying in versus dropping out.  I'm not sure what sort of plum appointment he could be offered that would really be worthwhile.  Meek doesn't really have the resume for the economic advisory type positions (of course, I never expected a tax cheat like Tim Geithner would get appointed either, so I could be wrong), there's no open seats in Florida to which he could be appointed, so what's left?  An ambassadorship to some itty-bitty country that most of us can't pronounce or find on a map without Google?  I just don't see Meek going for any of this.  

Now, contrast that with the benefits of staying in the race.  Meek has earned nationwide press attention from this race (even though most of the attention has been on Marco vs. Charlie, Meek's name still gets mentioned in the articles), and has earned respect from a lot of people for the dedicated and ethical way he has campaigned.  When compared to Crist's daily changes of opinion, Meek looks even more principled.  If Meek continues through the election and loses gracefully, he will be in a great position to run for some office in 2012.  Keep in mind that Charlie Crist is our governor right now due in no small part to his past strategy of running a "graceful loser" statewide campaigns to help build name recognition before the election where he actually won.

The other issue here is, if Meek does drop out, does it do anything to change the result?  I doubt it.  One of the big reasons is that time has simply run out to make a difference in this election.  Not only are the ballots printed, but absentee ballots have been mailed,  many people have already voted, and early voting starts next week.

Remember, there are no campaign materials allowed inside the polling places.  For Meek's withdrawal to actually benefit Crist, Meek would have to drop out, have a press conference to get as much media attention as possible, immediately and enthusiastically endorse Crist, and hope the media carried the story more than just that day.  Again, it only works if Meek sincerely and loudly endorses Crist.  Any wavering or hesitation, and the media is going to tear it apart as a cynical political maneuver and the voters will not trust it.  Frankly, after a year of Meek loudly criticizing Flip Flop Charlie, I doubt Meek's supporters are inclined to support Crist no matter what is said now.

The Crist campaign would also have to launch an expensive new voter outreach plan to mention that Meek was no longer in the race, bombarding voters with mail, robocalls, TV and radio ads, as well as people stationed at the polls during early voting and on election day.  As the campaigns all heat up in the final weeks of this election season, the fight for attention will be increasingly difficult, and every dollar and every minute spent telling voters not to vote for Meek is a dollar and a minute that can't be spent convincing voters to vote for Crist.  Yes, Charlie is still sitting on a big ol' pile of cash, so he theoretically should have the resources to do this, but any campaign consultant worth their salt can tell you that it is difficult to convey multiple messages at the same time, especially late in a campaign.

Honestly, if Meek does drop out, I expect that some of his supporters will turn to Crist, but I also expect that many of them will lose enthusiasm for this year's election and consider staying home.  The Republicans are looking like a lock for the Cabinet races (knock on wood!), many of the  state's Congressional races are getting settled (Cook Report just downgraded Grayson's chances of re-election from "Toss Up" to "Lean Republican"), and if Scott manages to widen his narrow lead over Sink, then there just won't be any top-of-the-ticket races left to entice the Democrat faithful to show up at the polls.  There isn't anyone out there who is bold enough to say that every Meek vote would definitely go to Crist, and I've seen a number of other commentators remark that the most likely effect of a Meek withdrawal from the race would be a depression of the black voter turnout.   

What do you think?  
 

Sunday, October 10, 2010

Bert Endorses Ernie


First thing that popped into my head when I saw this headline was that, considering the St. Pete Times has been in the tank for our Oompa Loompa Governor from the get-go, this endorsement was no more surprising than seeing "Bert endorses Ernie."
Roommates, best friends, and...politicians?
Anyway, I was getting ready to write something scathing about this super-pander of an endorsement, when I saw this brilliant post over at Practical State:

The St. Petersburg Times, considered by many to be the PREMIER Deadwood Press paper in Florida, demonstrates once again why Newspapers are dying off in droves.  They endorsed Charlie Crist for Senate...

...St. Pete Editorial guys:  PUT DOWN THE CRACK PIPE…Think about it.  You just endorsed one of the most opportunistic, self absorbed and  hypocritical men in American Politics for the Florida US Senate Seat and you are trying to make the case that this is a “Good Thing“.  Why don’t go you go ahead and endorse John Edwards to be the next Pope while you are at it?
Well said, guys.  The only thing that makes less sense than a Floridian who actually cares about this state supporting Charlie for Senate, is a baseball team who actually likes winning picking Charlie to be their pitcher.

Saturday, October 9, 2010

Yesterday's Ed Dean Radio Show

Here's a link with my appearance on yesterday's Ed Dean's radio show:

I'm on during the first hour.  Talking about the rumors that Meek may drop out of the U.S. Senate race, the Orange County Mayor's race, and the free speech issues related to those evil nasty people who protest military funerals...and a little bit of making fun of Charlie Crist...because it's Just. So. Dang. Easy.
 

Friday, October 8, 2010

Sometimes the jokes write themselves...

Here's our Oompa Loompa Governor Charlie Crist, throwing out the first pitch at the Tampa Bay Rays playoffs game against the Texas Rangers yesterday...yikes...



Seriously, Tanman, not the best move during a week where you desperately need some positive PR.

A still photograph taken at the game doesn't help redeem his image:
Somewhere there is a female schoolteacher stuck in the 1980s who wants her pants back.  I didn't know they still sold pleated khakis anymore.  Actually, these are so baggy they are almost Hammer Pants.  If he added suspenders, Steve Urkel could sue him for trademark infringement.  

Tell you what, gotta give Charlie credit...he accomplished something I had thought impossible...he makes Obama's mom jeans look tough.


There are so, so many easy ways to make fun of Charlie's sad little attempt at throwing a ball. Here's what popped in my head, please add your own in the comments:
That's the last time we'll ever see Charlie intentionally go to the right.

Throwing like a girl on national TV isn't the best way to dispel those pesky rumors.  Expect lots of newly scheduled appearances with Mrs. Crist next week.

This is just another shameless attempt by Charlie to kiss up to Obama.
The latest group to abandon Charlie's Senate campaign?  Girls' softball teams. 
The latest insult girls' softball teams use to trash-talk each other?  "You throw like Charlie Crist!"
Tomorrow's polls will, inexplicably, show a sudden surge in Charlie's popularity among band geeks and chess club members.
Are we sure that all of the RPOF credit cards were confiscated?  Because it sure looks like Charlie may have gotten into some of his buddy Greer's favorite scotch.
I'm honestly surprised Charlie didn't take a poll before the game to make sure he wouldn't be more popular wearing a Rangers shirt. 
We really should applaud Charlie for managing to throw the ball forward at all.  Based on the past few months, I was under the impression that  the only motions he was able to do were spin, lunge left, or slide downhill.
  

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Happy Birthday Fox News



Fourteen years ago today, the network that liberals love to hate and conservatives obsessively-compulsively follow was launched.

Rupert Murdoch and Roger Ailes first launched the Fox News Channel on October 7, 1996, a few cable stations at a time, gathering momentum to become the top-ranked cable news channel, eventually even beating the network news programs.

For a fun look back, Mediaite posted a slideshow of photos of Fox News personalities, then and now.  Gotta love the changing hair styles.  (UPDATE: Bill O'Reilly just said he was wearing a toupee back in the day.  Nice.)

(Hat tip: The HotJoints)

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

YouTube | Jeff Atwater "Chalk Talk" ad

Jeff Atwater seems to be channeling Glenn Beck in his latest ad...check out all the fantastic multi-colored chalk action...



I like Atwater's message here. I've heard him speak at several events this past year and like his practical approach to Florida's financial issues.

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Meet Mike Yost


Mike Yost is running for Congress in District 3...yes, the seat currently held by Corrine Brown.  This is a reeeeaaaaallllly interesting race, and it's definitely not a "safe seat" for the Democrats.  I've seen the recent polling data (including cross-tabs and sample size - I'm satisfied that it was a fair and accurate poll) and Mike is within single digits of defeating an 18 year incumbent.  

The battle for District 3 is important for many reasons.  District 3 is one of the poorest in the entire country - highest crime and unemployment rates in Florida, and third highest in the U.S.  These problems go back way before the current recession.  The people of District 3 have been suffering for a long time with a stagnant economy, lack of job diversity, and some of Florida's lowest-performing schools.  Corrine Brown has been a huge disappointment, focusing her efforts on Washington insider politics instead of the people she is supposed to represent.  Corrine Brown is an egregious abuser of the earmarks process, sponsoring almost $700 million dollars in earmarks over the past 2 years alone, a whopping 70% of which were for projects outside the district!


Clearly, the people of District 3 deserve better than Corrine Brown, and based on recent polling, they recognize that fact.  The race and Mike's amazing progress have been getting a lot of press attention recently: 

Florida Times-Union | The Momentum of Mike Yost
Can This Mechanic Help Repair America? 

Dick Morris was in town recently for the "Take Back America" rally sponsored by the West Orlando Tea Party, and has become a very enthusiastic supporter for Mike.  You can watch videos of the entire event here, including remarks from Mike Yost and Dick Morris, and other local tea party movement leaders and Republican candidates.

Dick Morris has declared Florida's 3rd Congressional District as a "race to watch," and a race that is "definitely winnable" for the Republicans.  He talked about the campaign on Hannity last night (I am looking for video of this, I have it saved on my DVR but if anyone has a link to a legal copy, please post in the comments, thanks!)


UPDATE: Here is a link to a YouTube video of Dick Morris talking about Mike Yost.  He mentions Mike at about the 1 minute mark.

You can meet Mike Yost in person at the Orlando campaign office this Friday, at 7:00 pm.  The address is 672 N. Orange Ave., Orlando, FL 32801 (right across the street from the Orlando Sentinel building).  There is a parking lot behind the building.

Also, the campaign is recruiting volunteers to help with the final month of phone banking, neighborhood walks, etc.  If you have any time to help, please contact the campaign Field Operations Director, Steve Borum, at steve.borum@yost2010.com.

AND OF COURSE...Mike could really use your financial support.  Please donate any amount you can. 

Mike Yost Campaign website
Mike Yost on Facebook
YostforCongress on Twitter

Thanks y'all!

I'm on the Ed Dean Radio show today

I'll be on Ed Dean's radio program again today.  The show runs from 2:00 to 4:00 pm.  Other guests include Dave Ginsburg and Jim Tolley discussing the Firefighters' Unions and their endorsements.  I'll be on at 3:00 pm with Amy Tidd to discuss bullying in school and, of course, politics politics politics.  It's that time of year, you know! :)

You can listen in at 90.3 FM on the East Coast, 89.3 FM on the West Coast, or online at http://eddeanradio.com.

UPDATE: here is a link to the audio from today's show (I'm on during the second hour):

Ed Dean Radio Show | October 5, 2010

Amy Tidd is a Democrat and we differ on many of the issues, but after sharing this hour on the radio with her, I definitely have a lot of respect for her.  She does not share many of the extreme and radical positions that I dislike in many Democrats, like Alan Grayson...and even Amy admitted Grayson is a "radical left" liberal.  If the Democrats supported more candidates like Amy Tidd and less candidates like Grayson and Corrine Brown, they would be having an easier time in the polls right now.

Amy, I'm not going to support you but I applaud your honesty and common sense, and willingness to appear on a conservative radio program and hold your own...and I really do wish your party would put more people like you in charge.  I enjoyed the opportunity to debate the issues with you today, and appreciated your sincere views  even where I disagreed.  Political discussions these days too often turn to nasty attacks and ugly lies, so being able to debate with someone who is fair and respectful is a wonderful change of pace.

Monday, October 4, 2010

Mayra Uribe caught lying about her endorsements

Mayra Uribe is running against Jennifer Thompson for Orange County Commission, District 4. Apparently Uribe has realized that she can't outwork Jennifer Thompson - Jennifer's been working hard to earn the votes of District 4 residents for years and almost won the four-way primary outright - and so Uribe has resorted to desperate and dishonest tactics in an attempt to save her floundering campaign:


The short story is that Uribe has made claims, in print advertisements, and in speeches and press interviews, that she had the endorsements of Belle Isle Mayor Bill Brooks and Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings, even though neither elected official actually endorsed her candidacy.

Uribe's excuse is that she made a "mistake" and that she "misunderstood" about the endorsements.

Ummm...no.  Sorry, dahling, but that is not how it works.

Florida law is simple and clear on this issue. Chapter 106 of the Florida Statutes requires that candidates not only get their endorsements in writing but that they get specific permission to mention the endorsement in an advertisement. The law even explicitly states that a contribution to a candidate's campaign is not authorization to claim that the contributor has endorsed the candidate.

Mayra Uribe is either running her campaign in deliberate ignorance of the elections laws, or she knew the law but deliberately violated it.  Or maybe she's just amazingly stupid.

Saturday, October 2, 2010

More Voter Fraud Problems in Florida

Sigh...these stories just make me sick.

...The Daytona Beach probe started when an elections supervisor noticed that as many as 90 absentee ballots had been requested from two e-mail addresses, and that they came from a single computer. (It is illegal in Florida for anyone other than a family member to help in requesting an absentee ballot.)
Volusia County Election Supervisor Ann McFall said she grew suspicious “because 40 requests arrived in one batch on the night of Aug. 6, and another 15 the next day. 
“The absentee ballots had no phone numbers on them, and my first concern was to get them in compliance. I emailed the sender and when I got no response checked with the Daytona Beach clerk, because all the requests were from Zone 5 and he didn’t recognize the address. Then I handed it over to the sheriff’s office,” she said.
...Voting experts say the case could be the tip of the iceberg. Absentee ballots, they say, are the Achilles heel of the electoral system, and nowhere more than in Florida, which has a long history of absentee ballot fraud...
The problem, as the article points out, is that publicly available (and easily obtained) records allow anyone willing to spend a little time researching can easily get all the information needed to make a fraudulent absentee request.  You can make a request online without knowing the voter's driver license number, social security number, or phone number.

This is another area of election law that the Florida Legislature desperately needs to address.  Absentee ballots are a vital part of every election, allowing people to vote who would otherwise not be able to do so because they are physically unable to get to the poll or out of town, but the integrity of the voting process must be protected.  Our current system does a dangerously inadequate job.

See an earlier post I wrote on the subject of voter fraud here:

"We Came, We Saw, We Suck"

The Daily Show's Jon Stewart discusses how the Democrat Party seems to be circling the drain lately...

The Daily Show With Jon StewartMon - Thurs 11p / 10c
Indecision 2010 - Democratic Campaign Woes
www.thedailyshow.com
Daily Show Full EpisodesPolitical HumorRally to Restore Sanity

Friday, October 1, 2010

Sarah on Ed Dean Radio

On Wednesday, I was invited to be a guest on the Ed Dean Radio show (http://eddeanradio.com).  Had a great time talking about everything from Alan Grayson's latest obnoxious false attack ads (and how it's backfiring on him), the role of independents in this year's election, Charlie Crist's flip-flopping and floundering Senate campaign, and other issues related to the 2010 election.  Thanks, Ed, for the plugs for my little website, much appreciated.

You can listen to a webcast of the show here:


The "Sunshine" starts at the one hour mark.  You can listen to Ed's show Monday through Friday, 2 to 4 pm, on 90.3 FM on the East Coast, 89.3 FM on the West Coast, or listen online on his website.

I've talked with Ed about making regular appearances on the show and will try and let y'all know beforehand next time I'll be on.  Have a great Friday, and hope to see many of you at the West Orlando Tea Party's Dick Morris event today.

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